I found an explanation for why Jian Li might have expected to be admitted to Princeton and all those other schools which waitlisted him: perhaps he went and used我发现解释为什么李剑可预期被接纳参加普林斯顿大学和所有其他学校轮侯他说：也许他去，并用 Michelle Hernandez米歇尔埃尔南德斯 ’s Academic Index '学术指数 Calculator计算器 ? ？ Michelle Hernandez is “America’s premiere college consultant,” according to her website.米歇尔埃尔南德斯是"美国的首演学院顾问" ，根据她的网站。

Hernandez invites us to calculate our own academic indices using this calculator: “Want to calculate your own Academic Index and give yourself a baseline for your chances of admission to top colleges?埃尔南德斯邀请我们来计算我们自己的学术指标，用这个计算器： "要计算您自己的学术指标，并给予自己一个基线为你的机会入学热门院校？ Enter your SAT I, SAT II and rank information below.” This Academic Index is analogous to the “numbers” that readers give to applicants on the basis of academics; apparently, this calculator approximates the ‘formula’ that all these top schools use.输入你坐在我坐在第二和职级以下信息" ，这学术指数是类似于"数字"的读者给申请人，在此基础上的学者，这显然计算器接近'配方' ，所有这些顶尖学校使用。
There are some words of warning about the incomplete nature of this calculator as a tool, but it still reads a (lot) bit deceptive to the unwary:有一些话，警告，对不完整的性质，这个计算器作为一种工具，但仍写（批号）的位欺骗性注意事态：

Obviously admissions offices that use the AI use it along with all the subjective information and make informed decisions about how to understand the most complex part of the formula, the CRS.显然招生办公室用爱用它同所有的主观信息，并作出明智的决定，关于如何认识最复杂的部分公式， CRS的。 Why then does the AI matter? Most importantly, it will help you gage your chances for admission since there is a very high correlation between high AI’s and high acceptance rates .那么，为何不爱呢？ 最重要的是，它可以帮助您计你的机会入学，既然是一个非常高的相关性高爱的和高接受率 。

Uh oh!嗯哦！ ‘Correlation’ –that’s always dangerous, because people are so quick to leap from correlation to causation and assume dependency. '相关' -这奇摩总是危险的，因为很多人都是这么快，以飞跃，从相关的因果关系，并承担抚养。 Anyways, I put in Jian Li’s stats and played around with them a little bit since we don’t have a complete picture. anyways ，我把在李剑的统计数据，并发挥靠近与他们一点点，因为我们还没有一个完整的图片。

So how’d Jian Li fare?所以how'd李坚车费？

I gave him excellent grades and rank (top 10%, so forth) and he came out between 236 and 239 AI on the 240 point scale (9/9 reader points, I suppose), after I put in his perfect SAT and near-perfect SAT2s.我送给他的优良等级和排名（前10 ％ ，等等） ，他出来之间的236和239爱关于240点的规模（ 9 / 9阅读点，我猜想） ，当我把他完美的周六和近完善sat2s 。 The worst part of this calculator, in my mind, was the accompanying graphic titled: “ Academic Index: chances of Ivy League or Ivy Level Acceptance ” which is just damned misrepresentative, regardless of the vague disclaimers pasted around the thing.最差的一部分，这计算器，在我心目中，是伴随图形题： " 学术指数：机会名校或常春藤一级验收 " ，这是刚刚该死misrepresentative ，不论以何种含糊免责粘贴周围的事。 Those AI rankings, in Hernandez Consulting’s opinion, mean that hypothetical Jian Li-like student, (regardless of race!) has an “excellent” chance of acceptance for Ivy League or Ivy Level.那些爱的排名，在埃尔南德斯Consulting的意见，意味着假设李坚样的学生， （不论其种族！ ）有一个"优"的机会，接受名校或常春藤水平。 The chart is dated 2004, but nonetheless, I can’t help but disapprove.图表上的日期是2004年，但无论如何，我不能不同意。

“The approximate average of Ivy applicants is around 200 while the average AI of accepted students is closer to the 211 range.” "近似平均常春藤申请人是约200个，而平均爱的接纳学生接近211射程"

Good thing Ivy League admissions is all about numbers–oh wait, it isn’t.好事名校招生是所有关于数字-哦等待，却并非如此。

Using the same criteria, I get around 223, 7/9 or so (since Phillips Exeter does not rank, I used GPA; quintiles give much the same answer).用同样的标准，我得到大约223人， 7 / 9左右（自菲利普斯埃克塞特没有职级，我用了协定;昆泰让许多相同的答案） 。 Guess I should start buying up Ivy League sweatshirts now, right?猜，我要开始买了常春藤联盟运动衫，现在，对不对？ Fun.好玩。

How’d I come across Michelle Hernandez’s website? how'di碰到米歇尔埃尔南德斯的网站吗？ Someone was searching her name and the name of her books on my site, and I’d never heard of her before; I used google to investigate the mystery.有人正在寻找她的名字和名称，她的书对我的网站，而且我从来没有听说过她的面前，我利用Google进行调查谜。 She worked in admissions at Dartmouth for a while before starting the consulting she is now doing.她在招生在达特茅斯了一会儿，才开始咨询，她现在做的。