I found an explanation for why Jian Li might have expected to be admitted to Princeton and all those other schools which waitlisted him: perhaps he went and used我發現解釋為什麼李劍可預期被接納參加普林斯頓大學和所有其他學校輪侯他說：也許他去，並用 Michelle Hernandez米歇爾埃爾南德斯 ’s Academic Index '學術指數 Calculator計算器 ? ？ Michelle Hernandez is “America’s premiere college consultant,” according to her website.米歇爾埃爾南德斯是"美國的首演學院顧問" ，根據她的網站。

Hernandez invites us to calculate our own academic indices using this calculator: “Want to calculate your own Academic Index and give yourself a baseline for your chances of admission to top colleges?埃爾南德斯邀請我們來計算我們自己的學術指標，用這個計算器： "要計算您自己的學術指標，並給予自己一個基線為你的機會入學熱門院校？ Enter your SAT I, SAT II and rank information below.” This Academic Index is analogous to the “numbers” that readers give to applicants on the basis of academics; apparently, this calculator approximates the ‘formula’ that all these top schools use.輸入你坐在我坐在第二和職級以下信息" ，這學術指數是類似於"數字"的讀者給申請人，在此基礎上的學者，這顯然計算器接近'配方' ，所有這些頂尖學校使用。
There are some words of warning about the incomplete nature of this calculator as a tool, but it still reads a (lot) bit deceptive to the unwary:有一些話，警告，對不完整的性質，這個計算器作為一種工具，但仍寫（批號）的位欺騙性注意事態：

Obviously admissions offices that use the AI use it along with all the subjective information and make informed decisions about how to understand the most complex part of the formula, the CRS.顯然招生辦公室用愛用它同所有的主觀信息，並作出明智的決定，關於如何認識最複雜的部分公式， CRS的。 Why then does the AI matter? Most importantly, it will help you gage your chances for admission since there is a very high correlation between high AI’s and high acceptance rates .那麼，為何不愛呢？ 最重要的是，它可以幫助您計你的機會入學，既然是一個非常高的相關性高愛的和高接受率 。

Uh oh!嗯哦！ ‘Correlation’ –that’s always dangerous, because people are so quick to leap from correlation to causation and assume dependency. '相關' -這奇摩總是危險的，因為很多人都是這麼快，以飛躍，從相關的因果關係，並承擔撫養。 Anyways, I put in Jian Li’s stats and played around with them a little bit since we don’t have a complete picture. anyways ，我把在李劍的統計數據，並發揮靠近與他們一點點，因為我們還沒有一個完整的圖片。

So how’d Jian Li fare?所以how'd李堅車費？

I gave him excellent grades and rank (top 10%, so forth) and he came out between 236 and 239 AI on the 240 point scale (9/9 reader points, I suppose), after I put in his perfect SAT and near-perfect SAT2s.我送給他的優良等級和排名（前10 ％ ，等等） ，他出來之間的236和239愛關於240點的規模（ 9 / 9閱讀點，我猜想） ，當我把他完美的週六和近完善sat2s 。 The worst part of this calculator, in my mind, was the accompanying graphic titled: “ Academic Index: chances of Ivy League or Ivy Level Acceptance ” which is just damned misrepresentative, regardless of the vague disclaimers pasted around the thing.最差的一部分，這計算器，在我心目中，是伴隨圖形題： " 學術指數：機會名校或常春藤一級驗收 " ，這是剛剛該死misrepresentative ，不論以何種含糊免責粘貼周圍的事。 Those AI rankings, in Hernandez Consulting’s opinion, mean that hypothetical Jian Li-like student, (regardless of race!) has an “excellent” chance of acceptance for Ivy League or Ivy Level.那些愛的排名，在埃爾南德斯Consulting的意見，意味著假設李堅樣的學生， （不論其種族！ ）有一個"優"的機會，接受名校或常春藤水平。 The chart is dated 2004, but nonetheless, I can’t help but disapprove.圖表上的日期是2004年，但無論如何，我不能不同意。

“The approximate average of Ivy applicants is around 200 while the average AI of accepted students is closer to the 211 range.” "近似平均常春藤申請人是約200個，而平均愛的接納學生接近211射程"

Good thing Ivy League admissions is all about numbers–oh wait, it isn’t.好事名校招生是所有關於數字-哦等待，卻並非如此。

Using the same criteria, I get around 223, 7/9 or so (since Phillips Exeter does not rank, I used GPA; quintiles give much the same answer).用同樣的標準，我得到大約223人， 7 / 9左右（自菲利普斯埃克塞特沒有職級，我用了協定;昆泰讓許多相同的答案） 。 Guess I should start buying up Ivy League sweatshirts now, right?猜，我要開始買了常春藤聯盟運動衫，現在，對不對？ Fun.好玩。

How’d I come across Michelle Hernandez’s website? how'di碰到米歇爾埃爾南德斯的網站嗎？ Someone was searching her name and the name of her books on my site, and I’d never heard of her before; I used google to investigate the mystery.有人正在尋找她的名字和名稱，她的書對我的網站，而且我從來沒有聽說過她的面前，我利用Google進行調查謎。 She worked in admissions at Dartmouth for a while before starting the consulting she is now doing.她在招生在達特茅斯了一會兒，才開始諮詢，她現在做的。